538 Polls President 2024 Forecast. Gain valuable insights into the evolving political landscape and stay ahead of the latest trends. A mostly quite strong day of polling for kamala harris — but with one big exception, an atlasintel poll that shows trump ahead by 3 or 4 points nationally, depending on which version you use.

The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for harris or trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Trump are locked in an extremely tight contest heading into their first debate tuesday.